Intrinsic value of Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ADSK

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ADSK stock

Previous Close$284.43
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$284.43

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-01-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-04-30.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %16.4NaN
Revenue, $3791NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3162NaN
Operating income, $m629NaN
EBITDA, $m753NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m546NaN
Tax expense, $m-662NaN
Net income, $m1208NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1857NaN
Total assets, $m7280NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m5423NaN
Average production assets, $m3385NaN
Working capital, $m-556NaN
Total debt, $m2104NaN
Total liabilities, $m6314NaN
Total equity, $m966NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.178NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.151NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1208NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m124NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1437NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-91NaN
Free cash flow, $m1528NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-556
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN