Intrinsic value of ALJ Regional Holdings, Inc. (ALJJ)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ALJJ

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ALJJ stock

Previous Close$1.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %9.6NaN
Revenue, $389NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m449NaN
Operating income, $m-59NaN
EBITDA, $m21NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-70NaN
Tax expense, $m-2NaN
Net income, $m-68NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m6NaN
Total assets, $m190NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m184NaN
Average production assets, $m137NaN
Working capital, $m22NaN
Total debt, $m100NaN
Total liabilities, $m173NaN
Total equity, $m17NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio5.861NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.113NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-68NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m80NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m13NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-10NaN
Free cash flow, $m22NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m22
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN