Intrinsic value of American Vanguard Corporation (AVD)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AVD

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AVD stock

Previous Close$16.69
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$16.69

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-2.0NaN
Revenue, $459NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m435NaN
Operating income, $m24NaN
EBITDA, $m48NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m18NaN
Tax expense, $m3NaN
Net income, $m15NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m16NaN
Total assets, $m667NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m651NaN
Average production assets, $m308NaN
Working capital, $m160NaN
Total debt, $m110NaN
Total liabilities, $m306NaN
Total equity, $m361NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.305NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.534NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m15NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m24NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m89NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-11NaN
Free cash flow, $m100NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m160
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN