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Intrinsic value of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Previous Close$95.79
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$95.79

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
19,886

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %58.5NaN
Revenue, $6538NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m4809NaN
Operating income, $m1729NaN
EBITDA, $m2617NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1200NaN
Tax expense, $m283NaN
Net income, $m917NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1628NaN
Total assets, $m12570NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m10942NaN
Average production assets, $m9915NaN
Working capital, $m1161NaN
Total debt, $m3716NaN
Total liabilities, $m9364NaN
Total equity, $m3206NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.159NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.152NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m917NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m888NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2873NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-513NaN
Free cash flow, $m3386NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1161
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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