Intrinsic value of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of CF

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of CF stock

Previous Close$47.31
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$47.31

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-10.2NaN
Revenue, $4124NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3501NaN
Operating income, $m623NaN
EBITDA, $m1515NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m348NaN
Tax expense, $m31NaN
Net income, $m317NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m683NaN
Total assets, $m12023NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m11340NaN
Average production assets, $m10271NaN
Working capital, $m461NaN
Total debt, $m3961NaN
Total liabilities, $m6420NaN
Total equity, $m5603NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.707NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.456NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m317NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m892NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1231NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-307NaN
Free cash flow, $m1538NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m461
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN