Intrinsic value of Carvana Co. (CVNA)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of CVNA

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of CVNA stock

Previous Close$330.91
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$330.91

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %41.8NaN
Revenue, $5587NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5919NaN
Operating income, $m-332NaN
EBITDA, $m-259NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-171NaN
Tax expense, $m0NaN
Net income, $m-171NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m460NaN
Total assets, $m3035NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2575NaN
Average production assets, $m882NaN
Working capital, $m1456NaN
Total debt, $m1889NaN
Total liabilities, $m2647NaN
Total equity, $m388NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio4.869NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.021NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-171NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m74NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-646NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-360NaN
Free cash flow, $m-287NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1456
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN