Intrinsic value of US Ecology, Inc. (ECOL)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ECOL

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ECOL stock

Previous Close$40.73
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$40.73

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %36.2NaN
Revenue, $934NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1295NaN
Operating income, $m-361NaN
EBITDA, $m154NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-394NaN
Tax expense, $m-4NaN
Net income, $m-389NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m74NaN
Total assets, $m1831NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1757NaN
Average production assets, $m1607NaN
Working capital, $m193NaN
Total debt, $m786NaN
Total liabilities, $m1229NaN
Total equity, $m602NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.306NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.302NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-389NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m515NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m107NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-56NaN
Free cash flow, $m163NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m193
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN