Intrinsic value of Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of GO

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of GO stock

Previous Close$32.89
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$32.89

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %22.5NaN
Revenue, $3135NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3028NaN
Operating income, $m107NaN
EBITDA, $m165NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m87NaN
Tax expense, $m-20NaN
Net income, $m107NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m105NaN
Total assets, $m2486NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2381NaN
Average production assets, $m1976NaN
Working capital, $m149NaN
Total debt, $m1380NaN
Total liabilities, $m1564NaN
Total equity, $m922NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.497NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.364NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m107NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m58NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m158NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-125NaN
Free cash flow, $m283NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m149
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN