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Intrinsic value of Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)

Previous Close$33.16
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$33.16

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
13,984

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-5.5NaN
Revenue, $4972NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m4224NaN
Operating income, $m748NaN
EBITDA, $m1018NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m322NaN
Tax expense, $m66NaN
Net income, $m256NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m722NaN
Total assets, $m10219NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m9497NaN
Average production assets, $m7294NaN
Working capital, $m1484NaN
Total debt, $m4346NaN
Total liabilities, $m6711NaN
Total equity, $m3508NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.239NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.297NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m256NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m270NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m449NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-167NaN
Free cash flow, $m616NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1484
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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