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Intrinsic value of St. Joe Company (The) (JOE)

Previous Close$39.28
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$39.28
* Our model cannot be used “out of the box” for the valuation of this stock. You can still do your own valuation by changing the valuation input parameters.

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh12.07 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in Northwest Florida, the United States. It operates through four segments: Residential Real Estate, Hospitality, Commercial Leasing and Sales, and Forestry. The Residential Real Estate segment plans and develops residential communities of various sizes. It primarily sells developed homesites and parcels of entitled undeveloped land. The Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, hotel operations, food and beverage operations, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, gulf-front vacation rentals, management services, marinas, and other entertainment assets. The Commercial Leasing and Sales segment constructs and leases multi-family, retail, office, and commercial properties, as well as cell towers and other assets. It also plans, develops, entitles, manages, and sells commercial land holdings for retail, office, hotel, assisted-living, multi-family, and industrial uses. The Forestry segment grows and sells pulpwood, saw timber, and other forest products. As of December 31, 2019, it had approximately 175,000 acres in Northwest Florida. The St. Joe Company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Watersound, Florida.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %66.3NaN
Revenue, $267NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m173NaN
Operating income, $m94NaN
EBITDA, $m113NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m100NaN
Tax expense, $m25NaN
Net income, $m75NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m74NaN
Total assets, $m1263NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1189NaN
Average production assets, $m40NaN
Working capital, $m70NaN
Total debt, $m402NaN
Total liabilities, $m656NaN
Total equity, $m607NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.662NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.452NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m75NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m18NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m112NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-153NaN
Free cash flow, $m265NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m70
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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