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Intrinsic value of Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL)

Previous Close$22.98
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$22.98
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh38.53 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-01-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-04-30.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers various dress, casual, and athletic footwear products for men, women, and children; and accessories, such as socks, belts, shoe care items, handbags, sport bags, backpacks, and wallets. As of February 1, 2020, it operated 392 stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico. The company also sells its products through online shopping at shoecarnival.com. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is based in Evansville, Indiana.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %36.1NaN
Revenue, $1330NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1122NaN
Operating income, $m208NaN
EBITDA, $m269NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m207NaN
Tax expense, $m52NaN
Net income, $m155NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m132NaN
Total assets, $m872NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m739NaN
Average production assets, $m321NaN
Working capital, $m288NaN
Total debt, $m246NaN
Total liabilities, $m419NaN
Total equity, $m453NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.544NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.503NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m155NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m62NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m194NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-31NaN
Free cash flow, $m226NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m288
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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