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Intrinsic value of Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK)

Previous Close$51.56
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$51.56
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh14.54 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. Its Shacks offers hamburgers, hot dogs, chicken, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. As of December 26, 2018, it operated 208 Shacks, including 124 domestic company-operated Shacks, 12 domestic licensed Shacks, and 72 international licensed Shacks. Shake Shack Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %41.5NaN
Revenue, $740NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m756NaN
Operating income, $m-16NaN
EBITDA, $m44NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-16NaN
Tax expense, $m-7NaN
Net income, $m-9NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m382NaN
Total assets, $m1461NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1079NaN
Average production assets, $m691NaN
Working capital, $m289NaN
Total debt, $m686NaN
Total liabilities, $m1051NaN
Total equity, $m410NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.673NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.061NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-9NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m60NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m102NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-101NaN
Free cash flow, $m203NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m289
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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