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Intrinsic ValueSilverCrest Metals Inc. (SIL.TO)

Previous Close$15.01
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$15.01

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

SilverCrest Metals Inc. is a Canadian precious metals company focused on the exploration and development of silver and gold properties in Mexico. The company's flagship asset, the Las Chispas project, spans 1,401 hectares in Sonora and represents its primary revenue driver through high-grade silver and gold production. SilverCrest operates in the competitive precious metals sector, where its strategic focus on low-cost, high-margin operations positions it favorably among mid-tier producers. The company’s lean operational model and disciplined capital allocation underscore its ability to generate strong cash flows despite market volatility. With no significant debt and a growing resource base, SilverCrest is well-positioned to capitalize on rising precious metal demand, particularly as a supplier of critical minerals for industrial and investment purposes. Its geographic concentration in Mexico provides cost advantages while maintaining jurisdictional stability, enhancing its appeal to investors seeking leveraged exposure to silver and gold prices.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, SilverCrest reported revenue of CAD 245.1 million, driven by commercial production at Las Chispas. Net income stood at CAD 116.7 million, reflecting robust margins supported by high-grade ore and efficient operations. Operating cash flow of CAD 158.3 million highlights strong profitability, while capital expenditures of CAD 51.3 million indicate disciplined reinvestment in sustaining and growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of CAD 0.79 demonstrates its earnings power, supported by low all-in sustaining costs and scalable production. With minimal debt (CAD 0.3 million) and CAD 86 million in cash, SilverCrest maintains high capital efficiency, enabling flexibility for organic growth or strategic acquisitions without diluting shareholders.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

SilverCrest’s balance sheet is notably strong, with cash and equivalents of CAD 85.96 million against negligible debt, yielding a net cash position. This conservative leverage profile provides resilience against commodity price swings and funds ongoing exploration without reliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company is in a growth phase, prioritizing resource expansion and operational optimization over dividends. Its zero dividend policy aligns with reinvestment strategies to extend mine life and enhance production scalability, catering to investors focused on capital appreciation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 2.24 billion and a beta of 1.22, SilverCrest trades at a premium reflective of its growth trajectory and leverage to silver prices. The valuation implies expectations of sustained production growth and margin resilience, though it remains sensitive to metal price fluctuations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

SilverCrest’s key advantages include its high-grade asset base, low-cost structure, and prudent financial management. The outlook remains positive, with potential upside from exploration success and operational de-risking, though geopolitical and commodity risks warrant monitoring.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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