US · EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
- Headquarters
- Seattle, WA 98104
- Website
- expeditors.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$147.23
Market cap 19.68B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $91.49 | -37.86% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $60.75 | -58.74% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $24.34 | -83.47% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $73.94 | -49.78% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $36.86 | $39.98 | $11.36 | $11.00 | $20.35 |
| 2012 | $32.65 | $33.88 | $35.14 | $9.16 | $8.64 |
| 2013 | $34.10 | $33.78 | $5.64 | $9.56 | $16.02 |
| 2014 | $41.72 | $36.84 | $4.52 | $9.56 | $30.33 |
| 2015 | $42.37 | $38.46 | $3.73 | $10.24 | $21.53 |
| 2016 | $50.69 | $42.60 | $4.23 | $10.01 | $1.59 |
| 2017 | $58.83 | $46.70 | $6.33 | $12.12 | $57.19 |
| 2018 | $68.53 | $52.03 | $55.23 | $15.61 | $88.63 |
| 2019 | $65.72 | $51.66 | $16.39 | $15.10 | $20.16 |
| 2020 | $94.85 | $69.26 | $200.95 | $20.84 | $115.11 |
| 2021 | $94.90 | $96.08 | $8,057.16 | $45.09 | $647.58 |
| 2022 | $103.59 | $102.74 | $5,212.26 | $40.99 | $94.78 |
| 2023 | $118.36 | $83.39 | $10.19 | $20.90 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $124.96 | $81.35 | $1.59 | $22.73 | $123.65 |
| 2025 | $145.63 | $91.49 | $3.66 | $24.34 | $73.94 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.'s (EXPD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $91.49
- Current price
- $147.23
- AI upside
- -37.86%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$60.75
-58.74% upside
Graham-Dodd
$24.34
-83.47% upside
Graham Formula
$73.94
-49.78% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| EXPD | Expeditors International … | $147.23 | 19.68B | -38% | -59% | -83% | -50% | 24.36 | 8.40 | 1.79 | 16.94 | 605.72 | 8.42 | 15.31% | 9.51% | 7.35% | 35.47% | 42.06% | 16.83% | 0.44 | — | 1.81 | 1.61 | -0.25 | 402.00% | 442.00% | 3961.00% | 4.82% | 0.49 | 51.32% | 1.05% | 25.50% | 4.42% | 18.52 | 20.45 | 1.76 | 8.80 |
| ACM | Aecom | $97.98 | 12.67B | -43% | -52% | — | -64% | 21.25 | 5.42 | 0.84 | 11.99 | 49.74 | -9.72 | 7.54% | 6.36% | 3.48% | 27.21% | 20.20% | 5.24% | 1.35 | 5.57 | 1.14 | 1.01 | 1.39 | 4271.00% | 21.00% | -324.00% | 5.07% | 0.14 | 17.34% | 0.99% | 21.00% | 3.86% | 14.90 | 22.33 | 0.95 | 2.39 |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, … | $185.25 | 21.97B | -55% | -60% | — | -100% | 38.35 | 12.20 | 1.39 | 27.00 | 152.61 | 80.64 | 8.37% | 4.90% | 3.62% | 32.91% | 19.48% | 11.34% | 0.88 | 12.60 | 1.53 | 1.46 | 1.65 | 2513.00% | -842.00% | 8397.00% | 3.97% | 0.50 | 26.99% | 1.34% | 51.30% | 3.48% | 30.17 | 26.80 | 1.48 | 9.84 |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Servi… | $233.41 | 22.22B | -48% | -60% | -83% | -81% | 37.89 | 6.36 | 1.89 | 15.53 | 376.22 | 6.76 | 10.52% | 7.21% | 4.99% | 15.79% | 11.64% | 7.18% | 0.53 | 12.19 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 1.18 | 1007.00% | -73.00% | 5338.00% | 4.18% | 0.87 | 16.93% | 0.75% | 28.60% | 4.94% | 28.37 | 25.90 | 2.05 | 6.09 |
| LII | Lennox International Inc. | $569.94 | 19.99B | -28% | -59% | -90% | -78% | 24.40 | 16.91 | 3.78 | 19.43 | — | 29.53 | 33.02% | 19.55% | 15.13% | 80.05% | 32.19% | 21.34% | 1.77 | 24.83 | 1.60 | 0.51 | 1.82 | -142.00% | -273.00% | -1832.00% | 3.25% | 0.64 | 25.01% | 0.88% | 21.50% | 3.43% | 21.36 | 33.96 | 4.18 | 8.02 |
| MTZ | MasTec, Inc. | $298.02 | 23.51B | -59% | +170% | -87% | -59% | — | 7.11 | 1.66 | 22.23 | — | 55.24 | 12.54% | 4.56% | 2.79% | 0.00% | 12.19% | 0.00% | 0.09 | 3.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 14612.00% | 1622.00% | -7063.00% | 1.20% | 0.17 | 6.52% | 0.00% | — | 8.18% | 36.78 | 84.01 | 1.68 | 3.42 |
| PNR | Pentair plc | $99.19 | 16.23B | -16% | -60% | -93% | -59% | 24.63 | 4.16 | 3.86 | 18.69 | 418.67 | -21.69 | 40.48% | 20.53% | 15.66% | 17.59% | 13.87% | 9.82% | 0.42 | 12.36 | 1.61 | 0.81 | 1.63 | 588.00% | 228.00% | 776.00% | 4.63% | 0.85 | 14.05% | 1.02% | 25.10% | 3.11% | 20.57 | 23.64 | 4.22 | 4.34 |
| SNA | Snap-on Incorporated | $385.22 | 20.03B | — | -54% | -85% | -54% | 19.96 | 3.42 | 3.94 | 13.47 | — | 4.46 | 51.73% | 25.75% | 19.72% | — | — | — | 0.22 | 25.43 | 4.79 | 2.73 | -0.20 | — | — | — | 4.95% | 1.18 | — | 2.28% | 45.50% | 3.90% | 15.06 | 19.89 | 3.88 | 7.94 |
| TRU | TransUnion | $78.55 | 15.25B | -1% | -60% | -99% | -49% | 33.43 | 3.43 | 3.33 | 13.53 | 55.71 | -3.88 | 59.09% | 18.74% | 9.95% | 10.52% | 7.19% | 4.12% | 1.15 | 3.64 | 1.75 | 1.52 | 2.95 | 6000.00% | 938.00% | 2804.00% | 4.35% | 0.86 | 7.59% | 0.59% | 19.90% | 4.66% | 22.70 | 29.43 | 4.26 | 2.49 |
| XPO | XPO Logistics, Inc. | $210.47 | 24.71B | -52% | -59% | -92% | -88% | 80.35 | 13.64 | 3.11 | 23.83 | — | 8463.75 | 12.00% | 8.94% | 3.87% | 18.26% | 8.99% | 3.97% | 2.53 | 3.33 | 1.05 | 0.86 | 3.51 | -1827.00% | 105.00% | 209333.00% | 1.30% | 0.63 | 5.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 40.85 | 90.52 | 3.65 | 3.86 |
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | $24.38 | 19.45B | -21% | +4% | -88% | +39% | 13.04 | 1.87 | 2.62 | 7.38 | 1382.62 | 2.25 | 30.98% | 26.60% | 19.91% | 14.59% | 15.85% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 34.85 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 0.26 | 94.00% | 1526.00% | -1739.00% | 4.77% | 0.40 | 9.82% | 4.84% | 63.10% | 5.83% | 9.42 | 20.07 | 2.51 | 3.86 |
About Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management; customs brokerage, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services; and customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation services, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other supply chain solutions. It also provides optimization, trade compliance, consulting, cargo security, and solutions. In addition, it acts as a freight consolidator or as an agent for the airline, which carries the shipment. Further, the company provides ancillary services that include preparation of shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance services, negotiation of letters of credit, and the preparation of documentation to comply with local export laws. Its customers include retailing and wholesaling, electronics, technology, and industrial and manufacturing companies. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
- CEO
- Daniel R. Wall
- Employees
- 19.2K
- Beta
- 1.13
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($60.75 ÷ $147.23) − 1 = -58.74% (DCF, example).