US · FOSL
Fossil Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
- Headquarters
- Richardson, TX 75080
- Website
- fossilgroup.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$4.32
Market cap 263.89M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $70.36 | +1,528.7% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $0.55 | -87.27% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $19.47 | +350.74% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $82.55 | $131.80 | $170.01 | $32.52 | $145.29 |
| 2011 | $129.53 | $170.56 | $556.53 | $40.05 | $155.42 |
| 2012 | $103.42 | $157.90 | $679.49 | $45.45 | $107.16 |
| 2013 | $116.78 | $195.07 | $447.23 | $48.07 | $141.79 |
| 2014 | $80.18 | $181.29 | $163.54 | $50.48 | $109.70 |
| 2015 | $49.73 | $149.84 | $0.00 | $34.35 | $2.16 |
| 2016 | $17.06 | $122.27 | $0.00 | $21.91 | $4.23 |
| 2017 | $12.57 | $58.73 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $14.68 | $85.98 | $0.00 | $11.61 | $0.02 |
| 2019 | $4.92 | $137.00 | $0.00 | $4.80 | $4.29 |
| 2020 | $14.51 | $269.92 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $33.63 |
| 2021 | $8.70 | $78.05 | $0.00 | $11.36 | $11.47 |
| 2022 | $3.56 | $132.85 | $0.00 | $3.57 | $1.22 |
| 2023 | $0.92 | $37.09 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $21.55 |
| 2024 | $1.38 | $70.36 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $19.47 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Fossil Group, Inc.'s (FOSL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $70.36
- Current price
- $4.32
- AI upside
- +1,528.7%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$0.55
-87.27% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$19.47
+350.74% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FOSL | Fossil Group, Inc. | $4.32 | 263.89M | +1,529% | -87% | — | +351% | -0.69 | 0.49 | 0.06 | -3.19 | — | 0.49 | 52.15% | -9.08% | -8.97% | -52.75% | -21.61% | -12.20% | 2.12 | -5.47 | 1.70 | 0.88 | -2.31 | -3533.00% | -1893.00% | -15757.00% | 54.63% | 0.14 | 9.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 109.16% | -2.55 | 6.64 | 0.23 | 1.32 |
| CLAR | Clarus Corporation | $3.16 | 121.35M | +1,327% | -46% | — | — | -3.15 | 0.71 | 0.62 | -14.56 | -0.77 | 0.83 | 35.04% | -26.63% | -19.78% | -19.91% | -22.66% | -13.25% | 0.07 | — | 4.93 | 2.50 | 3.07 | 40741.00% | -759.00% | -15409.00% | -8.51% | -0.20 | -4.52% | 2.32% | -7.30% | 95.45% | -1.94 | -9.70 | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| COOK | Traeger, Inc. | $0.86 | 117.97M | +3,036% | +1% | -71% | — | -8.17 | 1.01 | 0.46 | 12.94 | — | -1.22 | 42.29% | -0.49% | -5.63% | -11.98% | -0.39% | -4.02% | 1.57 | -0.09 | 1.99 | 0.82 | 7.78 | -6029.00% | -30.00% | -7275.00% | 4.28% | 0.20 | 1.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.26% | -236.75 | 58.61 | 1.15 | 0.03 |
| DLTH | Duluth Holdings Inc. | $2.15 | 78.96M | +3,355% | -67% | — | — | -1.38 | 0.33 | 0.10 | -49.98 | -0.38 | 0.33 | 49.23% | -5.88% | -6.97% | -21.38% | -10.21% | -9.25% | 0.89 | -8.09 | 1.49 | 0.06 | -36.27 | 36786.00% | -310.00% | 14245.00% | -41.80% | -0.13 | -7.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.98% | -5.97 | -8.72 | 0.35 | 1.66 |
| GRWG | GrowGeneration Corp. | $1.13 | 67.62M | +4,774% | -59% | — | +450% | -1.39 | 0.57 | 0.36 | -1.65 | -17.55 | 0.63 | 23.15% | -27.52% | -26.21% | -33.74% | -41.32% | -23.95% | 0.31 | -742.46 | 4.66 | 2.67 | -0.32 | 789.00% | -1639.00% | -2843.00% | -5.51% | -0.07 | -3.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.39% | -0.95 | -13.02 | 0.26 | -0.58 |
| KNDI | Kandi Technologies Group,… | $1.01 | 86.85M | +9,768% | -39% | -27% | — | -2.52 | 0.37 | 1.01 | -5.19 | — | 0.42 | 30.78% | -53.92% | -39.58% | -13.61% | -17.99% | -10.51% | 0.25 | -31.32 | 2.95 | 1.78 | -1.45 | -59010000.00% | 321.00% | -8361.00% | -14.62% | -0.15 | -4.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.06% | -2.48 | -9.08 | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| LIDR | AEye, Inc. | $1.64 | 73.89M | +3,666% | -85% | — | +20,135% | -0.14 | 0.32 | 23.83 | 0.37 | — | 0.32 | -285.15% | -17736.63% | -17554.46% | -160.65% | -1050.00% | -87.09% | 0.28 | — | 2.23 | 2.12 | 0.17 | -7000.00% | -8620.00% | -4854.00% | -563.22% | -2.35 | -794.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 133.02% | 0.37 | 0.49 | -65.65 | -22.76 |
| PLBY | Playboy, Inc. | $1.91 | 178.33M | +1,366% | +204% | — | +439% | -1.28 | -13.18 | 0.88 | -7.09 | — | -0.51 | 64.02% | -43.77% | -68.37% | -416.11% | -25.22% | -25.66% | -26.13 | -2.15 | 1.03 | 0.71 | -4.44 | -5889.00% | -1876.00% | -5431.00% | -21.00% | -0.34 | -10.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.31% | -5.37 | -12.76 | 2.35 | -3.38 |
| SNBR | Sleep Number Corporation | $6.17 | 140.61M | +4,704% | -51% | — | -68% | -8.41 | -0.38 | 0.10 | 12.39 | -26.01 | -0.33 | 59.61% | 1.36% | -1.21% | 4.55% | 3.61% | -2.24% | -2.07 | 0.47 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 10.47 | 3235.00% | -1087.00% | -10551.00% | 2.13% | 0.03 | 0.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21.47% | 48.32 | 303.80 | 0.66 | 0.33 |
| VIRC | Virco Mfg. Corporation | $6.35 | 100.08M | +402% | -36% | +88% | +49% | 7.71 | 1.53 | 0.63 | 5.28 | — | 1.53 | 43.08% | 10.46% | 8.13% | 21.60% | 19.11% | 12.79% | 0.38 | 79.83 | 2.98 | 1.28 | 0.43 | -149.00% | -107.00% | 2359.00% | 16.08% | 0.97 | 24.17% | 0.88% | 6.80% | 3.16% | 6.53 | 6.78 | 0.68 | 3.44 |
| VRM | Vroom, Inc. | $15.03 | 78.15M | +2,338% | -30% | — | +52,235% | -0.35 | -1.54 | 4.12 | -17.88 | — | -0.35 | 100.00% | -1092.20% | -1422.26% | -303.14% | -13.30% | -10.88% | -24.31 | -1.95 | 2.43 | 2.30 | -16.77 | -5657.00% | -9870.00% | -8126.00% | -210.32% | -0.26 | -10.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 783.27% | -6.08 | -7.67 | 66.39 | -2.54 |
About Fossil Group, Inc.
Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, TORY BURCH, Skechers, and BMW. The company sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department stores, specialty retail stores, specialty watch and jewelry stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, and retail concessions, as well as sells its products on airlines and cruise ships. As of January 2, 2022, it operated 370 stores worldwide. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
- CEO
- Franco Fogliato
- Employees
- 5.2K
- Beta
- 1.76
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($0.55 ÷ $4.32) − 1 = -87.27% (DCF, example).