US · TMHC
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Scottsdale, AZ 85251
- Website
- taylormorrison.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$60.39
Market cap 6.35B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $98.98 | +63.9% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $27.55 | -54.38% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $96.48 | +59.77% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $59.69 | -1.17% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $27.20 | $0.00 | |||
| 2013 | $25.17 | $113.60 | $19,067.84 | $17.95 | $122.37 |
| 2014 | $18.99 | $108.54 | $1,484.48 | $24.66 | $103.57 |
| 2015 | $14.05 | $98.27 | $245.35 | $23.21 | $32.67 |
| 2016 | $20.73 | $149.31 | $40.86 | $24.09 | $44.85 |
| 2017 | $23.86 | $49.56 | $0.00 | $32.00 | $25.17 |
| 2018 | $16.79 | $43.61 | $0.00 | $29.49 | $30.56 |
| 2019 | $21.70 | $41.05 | $0.00 | $34.22 | $48.03 |
| 2020 | $29.34 | $49.03 | $43.75 | $31.75 | $67.95 |
| 2021 | $30.09 | $79.45 | $185.02 | $52.17 | $155.44 |
| 2022 | $35.24 | $116.02 | $162.16 | $80.28 | $158.52 |
| 2023 | $58.19 | $134.44 | $1.05 | $78.36 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $61.77 | $138.94 | $2.21 | $92.38 | $151.73 |
| 2025 | $64.59 | $98.98 | $2.21 | $96.48 | $59.69 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's (TMHC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $98.98
- Current price
- $60.39
- AI upside
- +63.9%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$27.55
-54.38% upside
Graham-Dodd
$96.48
+59.77% upside
Graham Formula
$59.69
-1.17% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TMHC | Taylor Morrison Home Corp… | $60.39 | 6.35B | +64% | -54% | +60% | -1% | 8.18 | 1.01 | 0.79 | 6.92 | — | 1.13 | 23.03% | 13.98% | 9.63% | 12.85% | 11.20% | 8.18% | 0.37 | 24.15 | 6.24 | 0.96 | 1.32 | -605.00% | -57.00% | 36468.00% | 12.62% | 0.74 | 10.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.09% | 6.97 | 9.80 | 0.97 | 3.03 |
| BBWI | Bath & Body Works, Inc. | $22.76 | 4.69B | +125% | -54% | — | +5% | 7.09 | -4.08 | 0.77 | 6.13 | — | -2.60 | 44.26% | 17.33% | 10.92% | -52.99% | 34.11% | 15.44% | -3.58 | 4.06 | 1.48 | 0.71 | 2.64 | -574.00% | -164.00% | 61.00% | 11.67% | 0.72 | 22.91% | 3.13% | 22.20% | 13.82% | 7.85 | 15.06 | 1.36 | 2.59 |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries, Inc. | $577.26 | 4.51B | -47% | +41% | -62% | -28% | 20.44 | 3.28 | 1.73 | 13.71 | 160.50 | 3.78 | 23.10% | 9.44% | 8.49% | 16.30% | 21.55% | 12.39% | 0.04 | 368.04 | 3.00 | 1.86 | -1.35 | 1274.00% | 1229.00% | -2422.00% | 4.49% | 0.59 | 21.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.25% | 16.64 | 20.16 | 1.57 | 9.72 |
| IBP | Installed Building Produc… | $327.76 | 8.84B | -30% | -60% | -97% | -73% | 33.08 | 12.37 | 2.96 | 19.19 | 493.49 | 51.58 | 33.97% | 13.01% | 8.93% | 37.51% | 21.00% | 12.86% | 1.40 | 12.19 | 3.03 | 2.23 | 1.36 | 670.00% | 100.00% | 1965.00% | 3.43% | 1.08 | 21.99% | 1.00% | 33.00% | 2.96% | 24.45 | 31.41 | 3.18 | 7.04 |
| KBH | KB Home | $63.58 | 4.02B | +14% | -62% | +16% | — | 9.61 | 1.06 | 0.66 | 9.45 | — | 1.06 | 18.88% | 8.42% | 6.88% | 10.77% | 7.68% | 6.28% | 0.44 | — | 4.57 | 0.43 | 2.52 | -2722.00% | -1001.00% | -1025.00% | 7.04% | 0.25 | 5.49% | 1.66% | 16.00% | 14.80% | 10.71 | 19.37 | 0.90 | 3.69 |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | $131.25 | 6.98B | -17% | -61% | -58% | -51% | 12.97 | 1.36 | 0.29 | 13.63 | — | 2.17 | 6.47% | 3.34% | 1.88% | 11.11% | 7.78% | 3.65% | 0.81 | 7.71 | 1.35 | 0.87 | 4.23 | -914.00% | -18.00% | -609.00% | 7.71% | 0.19 | 6.77% | 2.41% | 31.30% | 7.17% | 12.73 | 18.77 | 0.43 | 2.91 |
| M | Macy's, Inc. | $19.78 | 5.26B | +260% | -78% | -32% | -51% | 5.31 | 0.68 | 0.13 | 4.26 | 0.44 | 0.94 | 40.28% | 3.95% | 2.53% | 13.56% | 7.73% | 3.57% | 1.25 | 7.90 | 1.43 | 0.36 | 2.50 | 119375.00% | -360.00% | 14359.00% | 24.59% | 0.28 | 8.47% | 6.21% | 33.00% | 24.04% | 8.24 | 9.86 | 0.33 | 2.44 |
| MHO | M/I Homes, Inc. | $142.16 | 3.72B | +38% | -59% | +36% | -34% | 9.38 | 1.19 | 0.86 | 7.37 | — | 1.20 | 23.03% | 11.47% | 9.12% | 13.20% | 11.54% | 8.64% | 0.34 | 25.28 | 24.19 | 3.80 | 0.70 | -2522.00% | -193.00% | -2953.00% | 3.19% | 0.72 | 3.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.35% | 8.25 | 34.59 | 0.95 | 4.70 |
| MTH | Meritage Homes Corporatio… | $75.42 | 5.31B | +40% | -60% | +5% | -99% | 11.36 | 0.99 | 0.88 | 11.13 | — | 1.00 | 19.69% | 9.18% | 7.73% | 8.76% | 6.83% | 6.12% | 0.36 | — | 12.12 | 1.81 | 1.98 | -4030.00% | -840.00% | -13613.00% | 1.80% | 0.20 | 1.52% | 2.35% | 26.70% | 8.08% | 11.65 | 67.65 | 1.07 | 4.25 |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters, Inc. | $66.20 | 5.94B | +57% | -27% | -14% | +45% | 12.74 | 2.10 | 0.96 | 8.90 | 67.86 | 2.10 | 35.97% | 9.82% | 7.54% | 17.59% | 14.97% | 9.76% | 0.44 | — | 1.51 | 0.71 | 1.18 | 1878.00% | 1107.00% | 3899.00% | 7.51% | 0.51 | 14.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.84% | 10.66 | 14.50 | 1.05 | 4.18 |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts,… | $81.80 | 6.18B | -0% | -58% | — | -70% | 31.57 | 13.02 | 4.26 | 19.50 | — | -4.55 | 58.85% | 28.41% | 13.51% | 34.53% | 9.13% | 4.59% | 6.53 | 2.92 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 6.42 | -3158.00% | 149.00% | 3320.00% | 5.27% | 0.74 | 9.92% | 2.08% | 65.80% | 6.83% | 22.38 | 28.31 | 6.36 | 1.76 |
About Taylor Morrison Home Corporation
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a public homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, builds, and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities. It also develops and constructs multi-use properties consisting of commercial space, retail, and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand name; and offers title insurance and closing settlement services, as well as financial services. In addition, the company operates under the Taylor Morrison, William Lyon Signature, and Darling Homes brand names in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, North and South Carolina, Oregon, Texas, and Washington. Taylor Morrison Home Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
- CEO
- Sheryl Denise Palmer
- Employees
- 3K
- Beta
- 1.59
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($27.55 ÷ $60.39) − 1 = -54.38% (DCF, example).