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AI ValueBogota Financial Corp. (BSBK)

Previous Close$9.22
AI Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$9.22

Stock price and AI valuation

Historical valuation data is not available at this time.

AI Investment Analysis of Bogota Financial Corp. (BSBK) Stock

Strategic Position

Bogota Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: BSBK) is the holding company for Bogota Savings Bank, a New Jersey-based community bank primarily serving consumers and small businesses in Bergen, Hudson, and Passaic counties. The bank operates through six full-service branches, offering traditional banking products such as residential mortgages, commercial loans, and deposit accounts. As a community-focused institution, BSBK differentiates itself through personalized service and local market expertise, though its geographic concentration limits diversification. The bank maintains a conservative lending approach, focusing on credit quality over aggressive growth, which has historically resulted in lower non-performing assets compared to regional peers.

Financial Strengths

  • Revenue Drivers: Net interest income (85% of total revenue) driven by residential mortgages (60% of loan portfolio) and commercial real estate loans (25%). Fee income is minimal, reflecting traditional community bank operations.
  • Profitability: Net interest margin of 3.2% (2023), below peer average due to higher funding costs. Efficiency ratio of 65% indicates moderate operational efficiency. Strong capital ratios (CET1 at 14%) provide cushion against economic downturns.
  • Partnerships: Limited strategic alliances; relies on organic growth. Participates in local economic development programs with municipal governments.

Innovation

Minimal technological differentiation. Basic digital banking platform with no proprietary fintech solutions. Regulatory filings show <1% of revenue allocated to R&D.

Key Risks

  • Regulatory: Heightened scrutiny as a NASDAQ-listed micro-cap bank. Must comply with SEC reporting requirements disproportionate to its size. Exposure to New Jersey's stringent consumer protection laws.
  • Competitive: Faces competition from national banks (Chase, Bank of America) and regional players (Valley National Bank). Digital laggard status risks attrition of younger demographics.
  • Financial: Interest rate sensitivity: 100 bps rate increase projected to reduce NIM by 15 bps. Deposit base is 70% CDs/time deposits, creating repricing risks.
  • Operational: Management depth concerns: CEO has held position since 1999. Limited succession planning disclosed.

Future Outlook

  • Growth Strategies: Potential branch expansion into contiguous counties (e.g., Essex). Exploring SBA lending program to diversify revenue. No recent M&A activity suggests organic growth focus.
  • Catalysts: Q4 2023 earnings (Feb 2024) may reveal NIM stabilization. Possible special dividend given $12M excess capital.
  • Long Term Opportunities: Demographic shifts in service area (Bergen County median income 20% above NJ average). Aging population could boost wealth management demand.

Investment Verdict

BSBK presents a niche opportunity for investors seeking exposure to a conservatively managed community bank with strong capital ratios. However, limited growth levers, geographic concentration, and technological obsolescence cap upside potential. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant portfolios with multi-year holding periods. Key monitorables include deposit cost trends and potential management transitions.

Data Sources

SEC 10-K filings (2023), FDIC call reports, S&P Global Market Intelligence, company investor presentations

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