US · MEDP
Medpace Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Research
- Headquarters
- Cincinnati, OH 45227
- Website
- medpace.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$417.54
Market cap 12.82B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $319.91 | -23.38% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1,685.33 | +303.63% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $71.15 | -82.96% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $426.33 | +2.11% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2016 | $28.52 | $49.84 | $31.38 | $0.47 | $9.32 |
| 2017 | $36.67 | $43.74 | $1.49 | $0.98 | $11.40 |
| 2018 | $51.75 | $72.95 | $1,408.85 | $8.29 | $138.05 |
| 2019 | $98.35 | $97.40 | $843.27 | $15.78 | $82.20 |
| 2020 | $160.00 | $140.18 | $348.86 | $24.42 | $62.83 |
| 2021 | $141.20 | $153.59 | $260.34 | $33.45 | $154.72 |
| 2022 | $175.43 | $147.03 | $675.25 | $29.36 | $263.05 |
| 2023 | $405.65 | $281.82 | $1,851.78 | $42.66 | $331.96 |
| 2024 | $332.81 | $248.90 | $1,074.77 | $70.58 | $253.65 |
| 2025 | $457.47 | $319.91 | $1,193.29 | $71.15 | $426.33 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Medpace Holdings, Inc.'s (MEDP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $319.91
- Current price
- $417.54
- AI upside
- -23.38%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1,685.33
+303.63% upside
Graham-Dodd
$71.15
-82.96% upside
Graham Formula
$426.33
+2.11% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MEDP | Medpace Holdings, Inc. | $417.54 | 12.82B | -23% | +304% | -83% | +2% | 29.25 | 28.75 | 5.22 | 22.70 | 139.42 | -55.74 | 30.06% | 21.14% | 17.83% | 70.23% | 171.74% | 22.13% | 0.55 | — | 0.74 | 0.67 | -0.43 | 2098.00% | 1997.00% | 1915.00% | 5.17% | 0.53 | 263.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.95% | 24.21 | 18.99 | 5.12 | 6.85 |
| CNC | Centene Corporation | $44.88 | 22.07B | -25% | +2,787% | — | — | -3.28 | 1.10 | 0.11 | -4.43 | — | 4.77 | 12.24% | -3.91% | -3.43% | -28.80% | -30.25% | -8.34% | 0.94 | -11.24 | 1.68 | 1.68 | -0.17 | -31585.00% | 1944.00% | -98184.00% | 19.73% | 0.24 | 17.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.61% | -2.99 | 5.27 | 0.12 | 2.79 |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics Incorpo… | $211.91 | 23.57B | -3% | -58% | — | -18% | 22.31 | 3.25 | 2.11 | 13.60 | 161.86 | -6.84 | 31.93% | 14.53% | 8.99% | 15.00% | 9.14% | 6.46% | 0.96 | 6.07 | 1.04 | 0.80 | 2.96 | 1378.00% | 1178.00% | 4950.00% | 5.82% | 0.83 | 10.07% | 1.51% | 33.70% | 3.61% | 18.61 | 21.95 | 2.70 | 3.44 |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | $75.36 | 16.82B | +9% | -53% | -75% | -67% | 30.11 | 3.37 | 4.15 | 17.05 | — | 20.82 | 61.00% | 17.42% | 13.80% | 11.12% | 10.86% | 6.23% | 0.52 | 16.73 | 3.75 | 2.87 | 0.65 | -2500.00% | 174.00% | -1964.00% | 5.40% | 1.08 | 16.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.42% | 24.44 | 18.97 | 4.26 | 4.18 |
| ICLR | ICON Public Limited Compa… | $108.14 | 8.26B | +89% | -31% | -50% | -11% | 19.44 | 1.62 | 1.86 | 11.80 | 67.55 | -4.98 | 29.42% | 13.26% | 9.56% | 8.44% | 7.88% | 4.67% | 0.38 | 4.63 | 1.26 | 1.21 | 1.96 | 2878.00% | 199.00% | 963.00% | 7.27% | 0.46 | 8.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.47% | 16.81 | 16.50 | 2.23 | 2.24 |
| ILMN | Illumina, Inc. | $134.46 | 20.56B | -15% | -56% | -72% | -69% | 23.92 | 7.47 | 4.68 | 14.59 | — | 14.52 | 66.49% | 19.92% | 19.58% | 33.36% | 18.25% | 13.13% | 0.94 | 8.65 | 2.08 | 1.57 | 0.78 | -17074.00% | -69.00% | 3131.00% | 4.58% | 0.68 | 25.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.42% | 24.57 | 22.83 | 4.89 | 4.42 |
| SNN | Smith & Nephew plc | $36.90 | 16.13B | +1% | -68% | — | -68% | 30.99 | 2.43 | 2.20 | 12.51 | — | 10.58 | 69.64% | 11.31% | 7.09% | 7.86% | 6.81% | 4.05% | 0.63 | 3.91 | 2.89 | 1.19 | 2.18 | -2167.00% | 470.00% | 23481.00% | 4.75% | 0.64 | 7.59% | 2.56% | 79.40% | 3.19% | 23.55 | 25.53 | 2.66 | 3.29 |
| TEM | Tempus AI, Inc. | $53.25 | 9.2B | +3% | +24,028% | — | — | -37.91 | 18.91 | 7.30 | -42.05 | — | -27.80 | 69.64% | -18.76% | -19.27% | -89.48% | -62.74% | -15.31% | 1.66 | -3.40 | 3.13 | 2.86 | -0.95 | -6937.00% | 8341.00% | 1325.00% | -2.57% | -0.59 | -76.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | -39.18 | -39.10 | 7.35 | 3.76 |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare Corporat… | $239.39 | 21.04B | -32% | -53% | -100% | -28% | 15.18 | 5.06 | 1.00 | 7.36 | — | -2.57 | 41.41% | 16.46% | 6.60% | 33.54% | 19.78% | 4.80% | 3.12 | — | 1.76 | 1.22 | 2.39 | -5263.00% | 312.00% | 12670.00% | 11.85% | 0.79 | 16.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.50% | 9.02 | 12.51 | 1.48 | 2.07 |
| WAT | Waters Corporation | $319.38 | 19.01B | -23% | -58% | -77% | -50% | 28.45 | 7.14 | 5.78 | 18.88 | 6094.04 | 27.58 | 57.77% | 28.22% | 20.30% | 29.28% | 23.09% | 13.34% | 0.55 | 17.59 | — | — | 0.81 | 47.00% | 699.00% | -1288.00% | 2.95% | — | 16.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.13% | 21.39 | 35.39 | 6.04 | 6.02 |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Servi… | $254.34 | 18.32B | -20% | -57% | -75% | -62% | 36.79 | 5.72 | 5.91 | 24.59 | 2237.77 | 5.94 | 35.89% | 20.09% | 16.06% | 16.85% | 18.68% | 12.48% | 0.13 | 1029.00 | 3.02 | 2.09 | -0.52 | 164.00% | 626.00% | 6965.00% | 2.58% | 1.15 | 17.68% | 0.34% | 12.40% | 2.15% | 28.82 | 37.94 | 5.79 | 12.97 |
About Medpace Holdings, Inc.
Medpace Holdings, Inc. provides clinical research-based drug and medical device development services in North America, Europe, and Asia. It offers a suite of services supporting the clinical development process from Phase I to Phase IV in various therapeutic areas. The company also provides clinical development services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries; and development plan design, coordinated central laboratory, project management, regulatory affairs, clinical monitoring, data management and analysis, pharmacovigilance new drug application submissions, and post-marketing clinical support services. In addition, it offers bio-analytical laboratory services, clinical human pharmacology, imaging services, and electrocardiography reading support for clinical trials. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio.
- CEO
- August James Troendle
- Employees
- 5.9K
- Beta
- 1.40
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1,685.33 ÷ $417.54) − 1 = +303.63% (DCF, example).