US · MOS
The Mosaic Company
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
- Headquarters
- Tampa, FL 33602
- Website
- mosaicco.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$23.15
Market cap 8.84B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $19.17 | -17.19% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $11.91 | -48.55% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $30.18 | +30.38% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $27.55 | +18.99% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $50.19 | $299.31 | |||
| 2012 | $43.36 | $88.09 | |||
| 2013 | $39.22 | $0.00 | |||
| 2014 | $37.78 | $34.30 | $5.47 | $22.19 | $50.76 |
| 2015 | $23.90 | $23.47 | $4.25 | $19.99 | $17.88 |
| 2016 | $25.28 | $14.05 | $0.00 | $10.46 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $24.86 | $12.49 | $2.79 | $12.23 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $24.72 | $19.63 | $0.09 | $27.19 | $44.28 |
| 2019 | $12.73 | $13.34 | $0.00 | $4.39 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $29.95 | $19.94 | $0.00 | $27.97 | $9.92 |
| 2021 | $56.34 | $46.36 | $56.06 | $42.40 | $209.97 |
| 2022 | $45.18 | $84.02 | $1,360.30 | $73.46 | $615.58 |
| 2023 | $29.73 | $26.27 | $102.94 | $35.32 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $24.37 | $13.09 | $0.00 | $22.62 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $27.51 | $19.17 | $1.52 | $30.18 | $27.55 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates The Mosaic Company's (MOS) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $19.17
- Current price
- $23.15
- AI upside
- -17.19%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$11.91
-48.55% upside
Graham-Dodd
$30.18
+30.38% upside
Graham Formula
$27.55
+18.99% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MOS | The Mosaic Company | $23.15 | 8.84B | -17% | -49% | +30% | +19% | 15.17 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 3.53 | 7.26 | 0.79 | 15.08% | 8.71% | 4.49% | 4.88% | 3.52% | 2.43% | 0.06 | 4.82 | 1.32 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 20909.00% | 836.00% | -122785.00% | -6.12% | 0.21 | -3.79% | 3.21% | 48.70% | 45.53% | 8.78 | -17.23 | 0.76 | 1.93 |
| AA | Alcoa Corporation | $62.08 | 16.08B | -39% | -53% | -36% | -11% | 14.77 | 2.73 | 1.31 | 8.11 | 0.99 | 2.73 | 13.58% | 7.62% | 9.01% | 20.05% | 17.07% | 7.48% | 0.00 | 6.15 | 1.45 | 0.76 | -0.86 | 148571.00% | 453.00% | 125000.00% | 3.39% | 0.31 | 9.97% | 0.63% | 9.30% | 20.22% | 15.58 | 26.67 | 1.19 | 2.09 |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical Company | $75.51 | 8.61B | +2% | -60% | — | -91% | 18.22 | 1.45 | 0.99 | 10.20 | — | 6.51 | 21.07% | 10.64% | 5.42% | 8.07% | 7.53% | 3.15% | 0.85 | 4.48 | 1.37 | 0.59 | 3.50 | -4654.00% | -671.00% | -3837.00% | 4.91% | 0.37 | 4.10% | 4.41% | 80.40% | 5.57% | 14.12 | 31.00 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| GGB | Gerdau S.A. | $4.04 | 8.1B | -11% | -61% | -33% | -60% | 30.86 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 5.60 | — | 1.05 | 11.41% | 8.35% | 1.99% | 2.49% | 5.15% | 1.65% | 0.29 | — | 2.89 | 1.13 | 1.04 | -6835.00% | 422.00% | -7597.00% | 3.05% | 0.81 | 2.05% | 3.00% | 92.70% | 5.74% | 8.91 | 39.82 | 0.74 | 2.68 |
| HL | Hecla Mining Company | $24.91 | 16.7B | +56% | -40% | -75% | +17% | 49.91 | 6.20 | 11.28 | 22.73 | 6.52 | 6.20 | 41.12% | 37.46% | 22.61% | 13.89% | 13.89% | 9.52% | 0.12 | 12.82 | 2.72 | 2.11 | 0.08 | 76572.00% | 5303.00% | 809680.00% | 1.93% | 2.43 | 12.04% | 0.06% | 3.20% | 2.98% | 30.12 | 51.75 | 11.28 | 9.01 |
| IAG | IAMGOLD Corporation | $24.57 | 14.58B | +78% | -61% | -46% | +295% | 20.63 | 3.33 | 4.80 | 9.19 | — | 3.33 | 41.22% | 38.91% | 23.29% | 17.98% | 19.51% | 11.55% | 0.20 | 10.38 | 1.75 | 0.94 | 0.27 | -2267.00% | 7776.00% | -65460.00% | 5.53% | 2.07 | 17.65% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.14% | 12.72 | 18.62 | 4.95 | 5.30 |
| ICL | ICL Group Ltd | $4.80 | 6.2B | +345% | -57% | -55% | -54% | 28.78 | 1.09 | 0.91 | 6.65 | — | 1.29 | 30.56% | 9.83% | 3.16% | 3.86% | 5.64% | 1.90% | 0.46 | 2.36 | 1.33 | 0.59 | 1.87 | -4375.00% | 456.00% | -8000.00% | 2.00% | 0.30 | 1.64% | 3.44% | 99.10% | 3.44% | 12.47 | 67.42 | 1.23 | 1.50 |
| NEU | NewMarket Corporation | $626.01 | 5.88B | 0% | -58% | -77% | -57% | 14.02 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 10.14 | — | 7.01 | 31.46% | 19.95% | 15.37% | 25.85% | 15.91% | 12.65% | 0.54 | 13.70 | 2.53 | 1.19 | 1.33 | -784.00% | -220.00% | 629.00% | 8.37% | 1.36 | 19.25% | 1.80% | 25.30% | 4.78% | 12.42 | 13.75 | 2.48 | 4.24 |
| TX | Ternium S.A. | $43.47 | 8.53B | -12% | -60% | -28% | — | 20.04 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 5.63 | — | 0.78 | 15.00% | 4.52% | 2.72% | 3.56% | 3.08% | 1.82% | 0.22 | 3.28 | 2.49 | 1.19 | 0.76 | -91481.00% | -1156.00% | -55959.00% | -2.20% | 0.59 | -1.76% | 6.22% | 124.60% | 6.22% | 11.33 | -42.70 | 0.51 | 1.74 |
| WLK | Westlake Corporation | $105.38 | 13.52B | -52% | -59% | — | — | -9.36 | 1.57 | 1.23 | -56.96 | — | 1.57 | 2.59% | -14.13% | -13.50% | -15.23% | -14.72% | -7.23% | 0.06 | -9.80 | 12.51 | 8.92 | 11.19 | -35280.00% | -801.00% | -27320.00% | -3.85% | 0.94 | -5.51% | 1.98% | -18.50% | 35.72% | -7.18 | -21.39 | 1.01 | 1.42 |
About The Mosaic Company
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It owns and operates mines, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients primarily under the Biofos and Nexfos brand names, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under K-Mag brand name. The company also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the de-icing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, it provides nitrogen-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients, and other ancillary services; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, farmers, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
- CEO
- Bruce Bodine Jr.
- Employees
- 13.77K
- Beta
- 0.96
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($11.91 ÷ $23.15) − 1 = -48.55% (DCF, example).