US · VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Headquarters
- San Antonio, TX 78249
- Website
- valero.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$246.87
Market cap 63.57B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $138.82 | -43.77% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $85.96 | -65.18% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $46.57 | -81.14% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $21.08 | -91.46% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $15.94 | $18.53 | $0.00 | $43.23 | $219.09 |
| 2012 | $25.99 | $34.10 | $3,787.33 | $41.90 | $69.19 |
| 2013 | $33.82 | $39.31 | $1,721.27 | $48.21 | $36.96 |
| 2014 | $38.21 | $41.08 | $0.70 | $57.67 | $21.78 |
| 2015 | $43.98 | $42.67 | $0.00 | $55.85 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $46.69 | $35.63 | $0.00 | $32.11 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $68.74 | $54.64 | $0.00 | $53.59 | $287.66 |
| 2018 | $60.15 | $50.66 | $669.35 | $38.69 | $232.03 |
| 2019 | $49.67 | $36.65 | $0.00 | $27.30 | $6.17 |
| 2020 | $69.32 | $34.27 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $105.57 |
| 2021 | $81.13 | $39.88 | $1,877.40 | $0.00 | $183.81 |
| 2022 | $120.66 | $143.47 | $34,520.62 | $145.60 | $1,767.08 |
| 2023 | $141.08 | $146.28 | $24,265.63 | $137.34 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $123.23 | $103.62 | $999.64 | $53.86 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $214.91 | $138.82 | $0.00 | $46.57 | $21.08 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Valero Energy Corporation's (VLO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $138.82
- Current price
- $246.87
- AI upside
- -43.77%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$85.96
-65.18% upside
Graham-Dodd
$46.57
-81.14% upside
Graham Formula
$21.08
-91.46% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | $246.87 | 63.57B | -44% | -65% | -81% | -91% | 28.28 | 2.80 | 0.54 | 10.77 | — | 2.80 | 4.38% | 3.51% | 1.91% | 9.74% | 10.56% | 4.36% | 0.45 | 7.76 | 3.37 | 0.33 | 0.88 | -1177.00% | -554.00% | -1292.00% | 7.57% | 0.41 | 16.48% | 2.12% | 59.80% | 7.46% | 16.78 | 14.38 | 0.59 | 5.40 |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | $46.94 | 69.86B | -54% | -67% | -78% | -88% | 15.36 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 2.63 | — | 0.87 | 11.36% | 5.90% | 2.96% | 4.98% | 3.14% | 1.82% | 0.66 | 3.93 | 1.14 | 0.71 | 1.16 | -4143.00% | -525.00% | -1374.00% | 12.55% | 0.34 | 7.16% | 7.90% | 121.40% | 12.86% | 11.56 | 11.89 | 0.68 | 1.37 |
| EOG | EOG Resources, Inc. | $124.08 | 67.33B | +9% | -30% | -67% | -64% | 13.93 | 2.33 | 3.07 | 6.58 | — | 2.33 | 68.11% | 35.14% | 22.07% | 16.83% | 20.04% | 10.06% | 0.28 | 36.05 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 0.44 | -1902.00% | -347.00% | -3192.00% | 5.66% | 2.71 | 12.64% | 3.12% | 43.40% | 6.81% | 9.38 | 18.93 | 3.30 | 3.72 |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | $18.84 | 64.82B | -27% | -6% | — | -42% | 12.21 | 2.03 | 0.84 | 9.38 | 223.33 | 3.25 | 21.79% | 11.42% | 5.93% | 16.43% | 9.11% | 4.27% | 2.08 | 2.84 | 1.22 | 0.85 | 4.71 | 547.00% | -5.00% | -4762.00% | 5.52% | 0.68 | 3.85% | 6.78% | 82.80% | 6.78% | 14.83 | 36.40 | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | $33.27 | 74.02B | -10% | -57% | — | -17% | 24.80 | 2.42 | 4.45 | 14.40 | 145.11 | 8.07 | 43.66% | 28.39% | 18.03% | 9.86% | 6.04% | 4.17% | 1.04 | 2.67 | 0.64 | 0.42 | 4.32 | 1709.00% | 1245.00% | 715.00% | 4.27% | 1.45 | 5.10% | 3.45% | 85.70% | 3.45% | 22.38 | 33.43 | 6.35 | 1.30 |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corpor… | $198.21 | 59.58B | -14% | -58% | -53% | -75% | 15.81 | 3.70 | 0.48 | 8.20 | 50.17 | 12.20 | 7.43% | 4.90% | 3.05% | 23.09% | 11.92% | 4.97% | 1.98 | 5.09 | 1.26 | 0.19 | 2.66 | 3152.00% | -455.00% | -2226.00% | 7.45% | 0.42 | 10.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.58 | 19.86 | 0.71 | 3.21 |
| MPLX | MPLX Lp | $58.94 | 59.95B | +18% | -44% | -50% | +32% | 12.27 | 4.15 | 5.10 | 11.52 | 84.67 | 13.78 | 45.23% | 40.30% | 41.57% | 34.71% | 13.21% | 12.20% | 1.78 | 4.84 | 1.23 | 0.66 | 3.26 | 1449.00% | 837.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 1.82 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.65 | — | 7.11 | 1.93 |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | $154.33 | 62.18B | -26% | -58% | -67% | -94% | 14.36 | 2.24 | 0.49 | 8.90 | 12.36 | 2.44 | 4.96% | 2.52% | 3.33% | 16.03% | 5.77% | 6.19% | 0.79 | 3.21 | 1.30 | 0.82 | 2.23 | 11623.00% | -751.00% | 1702.00% | 4.20% | 0.37 | 5.65% | 2.96% | 42.40% | 4.81% | 26.03 | 31.81 | 0.66 | 3.54 |
| SLB | SLB N.V. | $51.34 | 76.77B | -18% | -55% | -97% | -71% | 22.35 | 2.89 | 2.11 | 11.69 | — | 17.43 | 18.21% | 15.28% | 9.38% | 14.28% | 14.08% | 6.50% | 0.47 | 9.80 | 1.33 | 0.88 | 1.30 | -2444.00% | -160.00% | 720.00% | 6.36% | 0.44 | 15.29% | 2.12% | 47.50% | 5.32% | 15.31 | 17.42 | 2.34 | 3.19 |
| SU | Suncor Energy Inc. | $56.52 | 68.36B | -7% | -31% | -70% | -71% | 16.64 | 2.18 | 2.01 | 6.99 | 604.26 | 2.36 | 59.08% | 31.67% | 12.10% | 13.20% | 19.97% | 6.58% | 0.41 | 20.86 | 1.39 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 275.00% | -351.00% | -2699.00% | 7.03% | 1.25 | 11.98% | 2.85% | 47.50% | 6.03% | 7.30 | 16.35 | 2.31 | 2.85 |
| TRP | TC Energy Corporation | $64.37 | 67B | -7% | -60% | — | -33% | 25.37 | 3.47 | 6.23 | 16.37 | — | 6.67 | 50.03% | 44.23% | 23.15% | 13.59% | 6.09% | 3.15% | 2.23 | 1.98 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 6.40 | -2619.00% | 1029.00% | 5540.00% | 2.20% | 0.74 | 2.38% | 3.83% | 97.10% | 4.09% | 23.11 | 74.67 | 10.22 | 0.90 |
About Valero Energy Corporation
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. It produces conventional, premium, and reformulated gasolines; gasoline meeting the specifications of the California Air Resources Board (CARB); diesel fuels, and low-sulfur and ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuels; CARB diesel; other distillates; jet fuels; blendstocks; and asphalts, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined petroleum products, as well as sells lube oils and natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned 15 petroleum refineries with a combined throughput capacity of approximately 3.2 million barrels per day; and 12 ethanol plants with a combined ethanol production capacity of approximately 1.6 billion gallons per year. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through approximately 7,000 outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also produces and sells ethanol, dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible corn oil primarily to animal feed customers. In addition, it owns and operates crude oil and refined petroleum products pipelines, terminals, tanks, marine docks, truck rack bays, and other logistics assets; and owns and operates a plant that processes animal fats, used cooking oils, and inedible distillers corn oils into renewable diesel. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
- CEO
- R. Lane Riggs
- Employees
- 9.9K
- Beta
- 0.72
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($85.96 ÷ $246.87) − 1 = -65.18% (DCF, example).