US · COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
- Headquarters
- Issaquah, WA 98027
- Website
- costco.com
Price · as of 2025-08-31
$1,011.70
Market cap 448.66B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $477.34 | -52.82% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $413.54 | -59.12% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $80.90 | -92% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $291.39 | -71.2% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $60.25 | $52.51 | $24.18 | $30.73 | $72.15 |
| 2012 | $70.09 | $58.67 | $316.00 | $32.63 | $75.02 |
| 2013 | $97.59 | $92.34 | $105.19 | $0.00 | $64.90 |
| 2014 | $110.71 | $80.62 | $24.26 | $31.53 | $70.45 |
| 2015 | $132.23 | $103.88 | $18.47 | $0.00 | $60.53 |
| 2016 | $127.12 | $84.48 | $19.04 | $28.82 | $54.84 |
| 2017 | $153.08 | $141.08 | $17.59 | $0.00 | $99.94 |
| 2018 | $214.73 | $134.67 | $24.58 | $41.35 | $125.10 |
| 2019 | $276.67 | $155.98 | $35.73 | $40.86 | $129.73 |
| 2020 | $355.59 | $203.77 | $50.09 | $36.42 | $153.19 |
| 2021 | $489.21 | $350.46 | $1,220.09 | $0.00 | $279.95 |
| 2022 | $466.84 | $261.25 | $2,716.40 | $59.50 | $306.18 |
| 2023 | $558.10 | $308.04 | $2,299.14 | $82.82 | $207.46 |
| 2024 | $938.90 | $618.94 | $416.68 | $0.00 | $214.30 |
| 2025 | $922.74 | $477.34 | $71.05 | $80.90 | $291.39 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Costco Wholesale Corporation's (COST) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $477.34
- Current price
- $1,011.70
- AI upside
- -52.82%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$413.54
-59.12% upside
Graham-Dodd
$80.90
-92% upside
Graham Formula
$291.39
-71.2% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corporat… | $1,011.70 | 448.66B | -53% | -59% | -92% | -71% | 50.58 | 14.05 | 1.49 | 30.05 | 507.68 | 14.54 | 12.84% | 3.77% | 2.94% | 30.69% | 36.32% | 11.02% | 0.28 | 67.42 | 1.03 | 0.50 | -0.45 | 996.00% | 817.00% | 1822.00% | 1.91% | 0.36 | 36.62% | 0.53% | 27.00% | 1.82% | 38.77 | 51.37 | 1.46 | 9.57 |
| BJ | BJ's Wholesale Club Holdi… | $98.79 | 13.02B | -14% | -52% | -73% | -57% | 29.02 | 8.39 | 0.76 | 17.75 | 938.33 | 21.03 | 18.36% | 3.77% | 2.61% | 32.33% | 12.62% | 7.78% | 1.54 | 15.29 | 0.74 | 0.12 | 2.73 | 309.00% | 267.00% | 2426.00% | 2.02% | 0.36 | 6.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.27% | 23.73 | 58.57 | 0.89 | 5.27 |
| DG | Dollar General Corporatio… | $156.26 | 34.4B | -44% | -78% | -97% | -58% | 17.02 | 2.58 | 0.47 | 13.29 | — | 10.21 | 29.59% | 4.22% | 2.77% | 15.89% | 5.55% | 3.63% | 2.36 | 6.25 | 1.19 | 0.15 | 6.15 | -3232.00% | 496.00% | 14382.00% | 8.80% | 0.44 | 6.99% | 2.71% | 46.10% | 8.05% | 20.82 | 21.16 | 0.88 | 2.17 |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree, Inc. | $126.48 | 25.8B | -29% | -77% | — | — | 14.92 | 3.91 | 0.88 | 10.97 | 7.15 | 4.37 | 35.81% | 8.32% | -17.24% | 18.47% | 8.88% | 5.13% | 1.97 | 13.60 | 1.06 | 0.15 | 3.26 | 20879.00% | 475.00% | 17095.00% | 10.05% | 0.33 | 12.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 15.14 | 14.16 | 1.26 | 2.17 |
| KO | The Coca-Cola Company | $81.56 | 350.84B | -19% | -54% | — | -63% | 26.34 | 10.73 | 7.20 | 20.15 | 111.70 | 83.24 | 61.63% | 28.71% | 27.34% | 45.97% | 18.86% | 12.76% | 1.41 | 8.32 | 1.46 | 0.79 | 1.88 | 2358.00% | 187.00% | 1171.00% | 1.53% | 0.35 | 8.84% | 2.54% | 67.00% | 2.76% | 27.38 | 71.15 | 7.86 | 5.01 |
| OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet Ho… | $107.10 | 6.57B | -9% | -37% | -66% | -52% | 35.13 | 4.14 | 3.09 | 24.38 | 330.94 | 6.88 | 40.25% | 10.98% | 8.79% | 12.47% | 10.79% | 8.23% | 0.33 | — | 3.27 | 1.42 | 1.23 | 1062.00% | 804.00% | -1783.00% | 1.52% | 0.75 | 6.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 28.68 | 66.93 | 3.15 | 7.14 |
| PG | The Procter & Gamble Comp… | $167.18 | 390.64B | -29% | -54% | — | -68% | 24.11 | 7.45 | 4.59 | 17.27 | 296.17 | -33.54 | 51.16% | 24.26% | 18.95% | 31.41% | 21.42% | 12.98% | 0.68 | 22.55 | 0.70 | 0.44 | 1.08 | 814.00% | 29.00% | -1501.00% | 3.63% | 0.49 | 18.47% | 2.55% | 61.50% | 4.23% | 20.20 | 29.42 | 4.90 | 5.75 |
| PM | Philip Morris Internation… | $186.83 | 290.83B | -22% | -52% | — | -39% | 24.44 | -27.67 | 6.81 | 18.76 | 36.94 | -7.25 | 66.42% | 37.47% | 28.34% | -104.08% | 38.91% | 17.28% | -4.89 | 11.72 | 0.96 | 0.42 | 2.57 | 6615.00% | 718.00% | -101.00% | 3.86% | 0.48 | 33.48% | 3.12% | 76.20% | 3.12% | 21.07 | 30.05 | 7.89 | 4.16 |
| PSMT | PriceSmart, Inc. | $154.62 | 4.76B | -54% | -36% | -71% | -53% | 24.11 | 2.80 | 0.66 | 11.42 | 440.70 | 2.90 | 17.35% | 4.48% | 2.75% | 12.23% | 14.10% | 6.75% | 0.26 | 20.50 | 1.34 | 0.52 | 0.25 | 547.00% | 725.00% | 16425.00% | 2.95% | 0.36 | 8.60% | 1.11% | 26.70% | 2.65% | 14.81 | 33.89 | 0.66 | 5.46 |
| TGT | Target Corporation | $113.79 | 51.71B | +8% | -66% | -93% | -42% | 9.98 | 2.78 | 0.38 | 6.47 | — | 2.91 | 28.21% | 5.22% | 3.84% | 29.12% | 14.66% | 7.23% | 1.36 | 13.54 | 0.94 | 0.30 | 1.75 | -89.00% | -79.00% | 1733.00% | 10.96% | 0.35 | 15.16% | 5.01% | 50.00% | 9.26% | 10.05 | 12.50 | 0.53 | 2.90 |
| WMT | Walmart Inc. | $127.95 | 1.02T | -44% | -59% | -93% | -73% | 45.56 | 10.19 | 1.42 | 23.35 | 343.13 | 14.31 | 24.93% | 4.18% | 3.07% | 23.36% | 14.45% | 8.17% | 0.81 | 10.66 | 0.79 | 0.20 | 1.51 | 1328.00% | 473.00% | 22832.00% | 4.10% | 0.39 | 26.64% | 0.74% | 33.70% | 1.54% | 36.38 | 26.10 | 1.52 | 6.68 |
About Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, Korea, Australia, Spain, France, Iceland, China, and Taiwan. It offers branded and private-label products in a range of merchandise categories. The company offers sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco and deli products; appliances, electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, garden and patio products, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal products, office supplies, automotive care products, postages, tickets, apparel, small appliances, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. It also operates pharmacies, opticals, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers, as well as 636 gas stations; and offers business delivery, travel, same-day grocery, and various other services online in various countries. As of August 29, 2021, the company operated 815 membership warehouses, including 564 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 105 in Canada, 39 in Mexico, 30 in Japan, 29 in the United Kingdom, 16 in South Korea, 14 in Taiwan, 12 in Australia, 3 in Spain, 1 in Iceland, 1 in France, and 1 in China. It also operates e-commerce websites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Australia. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.
- CEO
- Ron Vachris
- Employees
- 333K
- Beta
- 1.01
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($413.54 ÷ $1,011.70) − 1 = -59.12% (DCF, example).