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Intrinsic Value of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)

Previous Close$43.53
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$43.53

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %64.2NaN
Revenue, $3835NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3224NaN
Operating income, $m611NaN
EBITDA, $m907NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m481NaN
Tax expense, $m129NaN
Net income, $m352NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m555NaN
Total assets, $m8004NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m7449NaN
Average production assets, $m3533NaN
Working capital, $m2835NaN
Total debt, $m3753NaN
Total liabilities, $m5853NaN
Total equity, $m2151NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.745NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.214NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m352NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m296NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m747NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-97NaN
Free cash flow, $m844NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2835
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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