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Stock Analysis & ValuationKelly Services, Inc. (KELYA)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
$10.80
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)40.57276
Intrinsic value (DCF)5.30-51
Graham-Dodd Method21.5299
Graham Formula0.03-100

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Kelly Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: KELYA) is a leading global workforce solutions provider, offering staffing, consulting, and outsourcing services across diverse industries. Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Troy, Michigan, Kelly Services operates through five key segments: Professional & Industrial, Science, Engineering & Technology, Education, Outsourcing & Consulting, and International. The company serves clients in the U.S., Canada, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region, delivering specialized talent solutions in office staffing, IT, engineering, education, and RPO (Recruitment Process Outsourcing). With a market cap of approximately $414 million, Kelly Services plays a critical role in the $600+ billion global staffing industry, helping businesses adapt to evolving labor demands. Despite recent net income challenges, the company maintains a strong operational footprint and a diversified service portfolio, positioning it as a resilient player in the Industrials sector.

Investment Summary

Kelly Services presents a mixed investment profile. The company operates in a cyclical industry with exposure to macroeconomic labor trends, reflected in its recent negative net income (-$600K in FY 2023) and diluted EPS (-$0.02). However, its diversified service segments and global reach (43% revenue from international markets) provide stability. The stock’s low beta (0.956) suggests lower volatility than the broader market, while its dividend yield (~2.3% based on a $0.30/share payout) offers income appeal. Risks include margin pressures from wage inflation and competition in commoditized staffing segments, but opportunities exist in high-growth areas like RPO and STEM staffing. Investors should monitor the company’s ability to improve profitability through its consulting/outsourcing mix.

Competitive Analysis

Kelly Services competes in a fragmented staffing industry where scale and specialization are critical. Its primary competitive advantage lies in its diversified service portfolio—unlike pure-play staffing firms, Kelly combines traditional temp staffing (Professional & Industrial) with higher-margin services like RPO and talent advisory (Outsourcing & Consulting). The Science, Engineering & Technology segment aligns with growing demand for STEM talent, though it faces intense competition from tech-focused rivals like ASGN. Geographically, Kelly’s European presence (via subsidiaries in France, Germany, etc.) provides diversification but exposes it to regional economic headwinds. The company’s 77-year legacy and Fortune 500 client base bolster its reputation, but its smaller scale vs. giants like Randstad limits pricing power. Kelly’s shift toward outcome-based solutions (e.g., managed services) differentiates it from transactional staffing peers, but execution risks remain in integrating these offerings. Its balance sheet is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.4x), but liquidity ($39M cash) is modest for M&A to accelerate growth.

Major Competitors

  • Randstad N.V. (RANJY): Randstad is the global staffing leader (€25.4B revenue) with dominant European exposure. Its scale and integrated HR tech stack give it cost advantages over Kelly, but it lacks Kelly’s focus on niche STEM/education verticals. Randstad’s broader geographic footprint (39 countries) dwarfs Kelly’s international operations.
  • ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN): Manpower (2023 revenue: $18.8B) excels in white-collar staffing and has a stronger brand in executive search. Its Experis IT staffing division directly competes with Kelly’s Science segment. Manpower’s higher profitability (4.5% operating margin vs. Kelly’s -0.1%) reflects better pricing discipline.
  • ASGN Incorporated (ASGN): ASGN focuses exclusively on IT/engineering staffing ($4.5B revenue), making it a pure-play competitor to Kelly’s Science segment. Its Apex Systems subsidiary is a leader in tech contract staffing, but ASGN lacks Kelly’s diversification into industrial or education staffing.
  • Korn Ferry (KFY): Korn Ferry competes in RPO and talent consulting ($2.8B revenue), overlapping with Kelly’s Outsourcing segment. Its stronger brand in executive search and leadership development gives it an edge in high-margin services, but it doesn’t offer Kelly’s volume-driven temp staffing operations.
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