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Intrinsic Value of National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Previous Close$53.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$53.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-09-30 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-0.6NaN
Revenue, $2174NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1419NaN
Operating income, $m755NaN
EBITDA, $m1125NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m641NaN
Tax expense, $m165NaN
Net income, $m477NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m138NaN
Total assets, $m7896NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m7759NaN
Average production assets, $m6481NaN
Working capital, $m-1181NaN
Total debt, $m2632NaN
Total liabilities, $m5816NaN
Total equity, $m2080NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.266NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.321NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m477NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m370NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m813NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-557NaN
Free cash flow, $m1370NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-1181
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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