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Intrinsic Value of Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA)

Previous Close$442.32
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$442.32

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023-01-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-07-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %18.3NaN
Revenue, $10209NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m8570NaN
Operating income, $m1639NaN
EBITDA, $m1880NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1644NaN
Tax expense, $m401NaN
Net income, $m1242NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m738NaN
Total assets, $m5370NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m4633NaN
Average production assets, $m974NaN
Working capital, $m1028NaN
Total debt, $m1903NaN
Total liabilities, $m3411NaN
Total equity, $m1960NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.971NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.325NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1242NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m241NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1482NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-312NaN
Free cash flow, $m1794NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1028
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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