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Intrinsic value of Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings (AAWW)

Previous Close$99.65
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$99.65
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh181.97 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides outsourced aircraft and aviation operating services. It operates through three segments: ACMI, Charter, and Dry Leasing. The company offers outsourced cargo and passenger aircraft operating solutions, including contractual service arrangements, such as the provision of aircraft; and value-added services, including crew, maintenance, and insurance to aircraft and other customers. It also provides cargo and passenger aircraft charter services to the U.S. Military Air Mobility Command, charter brokers, freight forwarders, direct shippers, airlines, sports teams and fans, and private charter customers; and aircraft and engines dry leasing services. In addition, the company offers administrative and management support services, and flight simulator training services. It also serves express delivery providers, e-commerce retailers, and airlines. The company has operations in Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, North America, and South America. Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %25.5NaN
Revenue, $4031NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m3320NaN
Operating income, $m711NaN
EBITDA, $m1068NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m647NaN
Tax expense, $m154NaN
Net income, $m493NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m921NaN
Total assets, $m6443NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m5522NaN
Average production assets, $m4612NaN
Working capital, $m-94NaN
Total debt, $m2516NaN
Total liabilities, $m3634NaN
Total equity, $m2809NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.896NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.468NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m493NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m357NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m923NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-489NaN
Free cash flow, $m1412NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-94
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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