Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ABG

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ABG stock

Previous Close$193.21
Intrinsic Value$96.47
Upside potential  -50%
Previous Close
$193.21
Intrinsic Value
$96.47
Potential        
-50%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-06-30.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-1.1NaN
Revenue, $7132NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m6761NaN
Operating income, $m371NaN
EBITDA, $m409NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m338NaN
Tax expense, $m84NaN
Net income, $m254NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1NaN
Total assets, $m3783NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m3782NaN
Average production assets, $m1780NaN
Working capital, $m183NaN
Total debt, $m2365NaN
Total liabilities, $m2877NaN
Total equity, $m906NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.610NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.476NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m254NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m39NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m738NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-45NaN
Free cash flow, $m783NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m183
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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