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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI)

Previous Close$162.44
Intrinsic Value$44.11
Upside potential  -73%
Previous Close
$162.44
Intrinsic Value
$44.11
Potential        
-73%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
85,330

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-10-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-04-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %30.6NaN
Revenue, $7318NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5626NaN
Operating income, $m1692NaN
EBITDA, $m2767NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1328NaN
Tax expense, $m-62NaN
Net income, $m1390NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1978NaN
Total assets, $m52322NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m50344NaN
Average production assets, $m30876NaN
Working capital, $m2608NaN
Total debt, $m7118NaN
Total liabilities, $m14329NaN
Total equity, $m37993NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.187NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.727NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1390NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1075NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2735NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-308NaN
Free cash flow, $m3043NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2608
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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