Intrinsic value of Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ADM

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ADM stock

Previous Close$58.01
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$58.01

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-0.5NaN
Revenue, $64355NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m62589NaN
Operating income, $m1766NaN
EBITDA, $m2742NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1873NaN
Tax expense, $m101NaN
Net income, $m1772NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m6556NaN
Total assets, $m49719NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m43163NaN
Average production assets, $m15473NaN
Working capital, $m9104NaN
Total debt, $m7887NaN
Total liabilities, $m29697NaN
Total equity, $m20022NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.394NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.312NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m1772NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m976NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-2386NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-823NaN
Free cash flow, $m-1563NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m9104
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN