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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS)

Previous Close$84.54
Intrinsic Value$43.41
Upside potential  -49%
Previous Close
$84.54
Intrinsic Value
$43.41
Potential        
-49%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
1,348

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %13.0NaN
Revenue, $864NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m799NaN
Operating income, $m66NaN
EBITDA, $m80NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m60NaN
Tax expense, $m15NaN
Net income, $m45NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m169NaN
Total assets, $m948NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m779NaN
Average production assets, $m611NaN
Working capital, $m207NaN
Total debt, $m264NaN
Total liabilities, $m373NaN
Total equity, $m574NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.459NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.533NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m45NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m14NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m39NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-5NaN
Free cash flow, $m44NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m207
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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