Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of AEO

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of AEO stock

Previous Close$34.57
Intrinsic Value$2.78
Upside potential  -92%
Previous Close
$34.57
Intrinsic Value
$2.78
Potential        
-92%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-01-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-01-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-12.8NaN
Revenue, $3759NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m4030NaN
Operating income, $m-271NaN
EBITDA, $m-106NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-292NaN
Tax expense, $m-83NaN
Net income, $m-209NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m850NaN
Total assets, $m3435NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2584NaN
Average production assets, $m741NaN
Working capital, $m664NaN
Total debt, $m325NaN
Total liabilities, $m2348NaN
Total equity, $m1087NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.299NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.091NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-209NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m166NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m202NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-128NaN
Free cash flow, $m330NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m664
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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