Intrinsic value of Aerie Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AERI)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AERI

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AERI stock

Previous Close$17.41
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$17.41

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %19.0NaN
Revenue, $83NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m239NaN
Operating income, $m-156NaN
EBITDA, $m-122NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-178NaN
Tax expense, $m5NaN
Net income, $m-183NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m240NaN
Total assets, $m402NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m162NaN
Average production assets, $m615NaN
Working capital, $m227NaN
Total debt, $m210NaN
Total liabilities, $m378NaN
Total equity, $m24NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio8.777NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-1.338NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-183NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m34NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-65NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3NaN
Free cash flow, $m-62NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m227
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN