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Intrinsic value of The AES Corporation (AES)

Previous Close$24.22
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$24.22
* Our model cannot be used “out of the box” for the valuation of this stock. You can still do your own valuation by changing the valuation input parameters.
Use floor (the cash flow based valuation has rendered a result, which is lower than an estimated minimum value derived from the company’s balance sheet analysis)

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh15.78 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

The AES Corporation operates as a diversified power generation and utility company. It owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries. The company also owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market. It uses a range of fuels and technologies to generate electricity, including natural gas, coal, pet coke, diesel, and oil, as well as renewables, such as hydro, solar, wind, energy storage, biomass, and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 30,471 megawatts. It has operations in the United States, Puerto Rico, El Salvador, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean, Europe, and Asia. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %15.3NaN
Revenue, $11142NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m12206NaN
Operating income, $m-1064NaN
EBITDA, $m-8NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-546NaN
Tax expense, $m-133NaN
Net income, $m-413NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1479NaN
Total assets, $m32963NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m31484NaN
Average production assets, $m23900NaN
Working capital, $m624NaN
Total debt, $m19013NaN
Total liabilities, $m28908NaN
Total equity, $m4055NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio4.689NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.126NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-413NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1056NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1902NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-2116NaN
Free cash flow, $m4018NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m624
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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