Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of The AES Corporation (AES)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of AES

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of AES stock

Previous Close$23.90
Intrinsic Value$1.99
Upside potential  -92%
Previous Close
$23.90
Intrinsic Value
$1.99
Potential        
-92%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-5.2NaN
Revenue, $9660NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m8970NaN
Operating income, $m690NaN
EBITDA, $m1758NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m262NaN
Tax expense, $m216NaN
Net income, $m46NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1721NaN
Total assets, $m34603NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m32882NaN
Average production assets, $m24408NaN
Working capital, $m52NaN
Total debt, $m19881NaN
Total liabilities, $m29883NaN
Total equity, $m4720NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio4.212NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.135NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m46NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1068NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m2755NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1900NaN
Free cash flow, $m4655NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m52
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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