Intrinsic value of Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AGIO)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AGIO

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AGIO stock

Previous Close$55.22
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$55.22

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %72.3NaN
Revenue, $203NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m519NaN
Operating income, $m-316NaN
EBITDA, $m-303NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-327NaN
Tax expense, $m0NaN
Net income, $m-327NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m573NaN
Total assets, $m853NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m280NaN
Average production assets, $m32NaN
Working capital, $m542NaN
Total debt, $m0NaN
Total liabilities, $m453NaN
Total equity, $m400NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.001NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.619NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-327NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m13NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-291NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-15NaN
Free cash flow, $m-276NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m542
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN