Intrinsic value of Argan, Inc. (AGX)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AGX

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AGX stock

Previous Close$44.01
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$44.01

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-01-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-01-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %0.0NaN
Revenue, $392NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m369NaN
Operating income, $m23NaN
EBITDA, $m28NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m25NaN
Tax expense, $m1NaN
Net income, $m24NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m457NaN
Total assets, $m603NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m146NaN
Average production assets, $m54NaN
Working capital, $m270NaN
Total debt, $m0NaN
Total liabilities, $m280NaN
Total equity, $m322NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.000NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.921NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m24NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m5NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m175NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-2NaN
Free cash flow, $m176NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m270
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN