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Intrinsic value of Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT)

Previous Close$110.25
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$110.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh165.49 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between under-served cities and leisure destinations. As of February 14, 2020, it operated a fleet of 94 Airbus A320 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including convenience fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, change fees, priority boarding, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms and ground transportation, such as rental cars and hotel shuttle products; and air transportation services through fixed fee agreements and charter service on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company leases spare engines to a third party; offers management solutions to golf courses; and operates a golf course and family entertainment centers. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %72.5NaN
Revenue, $1708NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1445NaN
Operating income, $m263NaN
EBITDA, $m444NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m195NaN
Tax expense, $m45NaN
Net income, $m150NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m1220NaN
Total assets, $m4010NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2790NaN
Average production assets, $m2566NaN
Working capital, $m675NaN
Total debt, $m1877NaN
Total liabilities, $m2786NaN
Total equity, $m1224NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.533NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.055NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m150NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m181NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m538NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-256NaN
Free cash flow, $m794NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m675
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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