Intrinsic value of Alithya Group Inc. (ALYA)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ALYA

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ALYA stock

Previous Close$2.75
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.75

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-03-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %16.6NaN
Revenue, $228NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m241NaN
Operating income, $m-13NaN
EBITDA, $m-1NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-16NaN
Tax expense, $m-2NaN
Net income, $m-14NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m5NaN
Total assets, $m193NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m187NaN
Average production assets, $m103NaN
Working capital, $m-3NaN
Total debt, $m56NaN
Total liabilities, $m107NaN
Total equity, $m86NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.652NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.585NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-14NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m12NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-0NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-2NaN
Free cash flow, $m1NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-3
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN