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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Amgen Inc. (AMGN)

Previous Close$247.50
Intrinsic Value$120.29
Upside potential  -51%
Previous Close
$247.50
Intrinsic Value
$120.29
Potential        
-51%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
138,179

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %2.9NaN
Revenue, $25987NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m18348NaN
Operating income, $m7639NaN
EBITDA, $m11037NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m6701NaN
Tax expense, $m808NaN
Net income, $m5893NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m8037NaN
Total assets, $m61165NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m53128NaN
Average production assets, $m36198NaN
Working capital, $m7201NaN
Total debt, $m33979NaN
Total liabilities, $m54465NaN
Total equity, $m6700NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio5.071NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.021NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m5893NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m3398NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m9261NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-880NaN
Free cash flow, $m10141NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m7201
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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