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Intrinsic value of Amgen Inc. (AMGN)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of AMGN

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of AMGN stock

Previous Close$247.72
Intrinsic Value$139.85
Upside potential  -44%
Previous Close
$247.72
Intrinsic Value
$139.85
Potential        
-44%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %8.8NaN
Revenue, $25424NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m16285NaN
Operating income, $m9139NaN
EBITDA, $m12740NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m8133NaN
Tax expense, $m869NaN
Net income, $m7264NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m10647NaN
Total assets, $m62948NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m52301NaN
Average production assets, $m37605NaN
Working capital, $m9491NaN
Total debt, $m32986NaN
Total liabilities, $m53539NaN
Total equity, $m9409NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio3.506NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.022NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m7264NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m3601NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m10497NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-608NaN
Free cash flow, $m11105NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m9491
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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