Intrinsic value of Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AMPY

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AMPY stock

Previous Close$3.38
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$3.38

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-26.7NaN
Revenue, $202NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m644NaN
Operating income, $m-442NaN
EBITDA, $m-398NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-464NaN
Tax expense, $m0NaN
Net income, $m-464NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m10NaN
Total assets, $m385NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m374NaN
Average production assets, $m581NaN
Working capital, $m-0NaN
Total debt, $m261NaN
Total liabilities, $m418NaN
Total equity, $m-34NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-7.722NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.118NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-464NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m44NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m74NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-36NaN
Free cash flow, $m110NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-0
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN