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Intrinsic Value of A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)

Previous Close$69.08
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$69.08

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

A. O. Smith Corporation operates as a global leader in water heating and water treatment solutions, serving residential, commercial, and industrial markets. The company generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of water heaters, boilers, and water purification systems, with a strong presence in North America, China, and India. Its diversified product portfolio includes energy-efficient and smart-connected solutions, positioning it as a key player in sustainable water technology. A. O. Smith leverages its engineering expertise and brand reputation to maintain competitive advantages in both mature and emerging markets. The company’s focus on innovation and regulatory compliance ensures alignment with global trends toward energy conservation and water safety, reinforcing its market leadership. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships further enhance its technological capabilities and geographic reach, solidifying its position as a trusted provider of water-centric solutions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, A. O. Smith reported revenue of $3.82 billion, with net income of $533.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 14%. Diluted EPS stood at $3.63, demonstrating robust profitability. Operating cash flow was $581.8 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of $108 million indicate disciplined reinvestment in production capacity and innovation, aligning with long-term growth objectives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by consistent operating cash flow generation, which exceeds net income, highlighting strong cash conversion. With modest capital expenditures relative to cash flow, A. O. Smith maintains high capital efficiency. Its ability to fund growth initiatives while returning capital to shareholders reflects a balanced approach to capital allocation, supported by stable margins and operational leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

A. O. Smith’s balance sheet remains healthy, with $239.6 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of $216.7 million, indicating a conservative leverage profile. The low debt-to-equity ratio suggests ample financial flexibility to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties. Strong liquidity and manageable debt obligations position the company favorably for strategic investments or shareholder returns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated steady growth, driven by demand for energy-efficient water solutions and expansion in emerging markets. A dividend of $1.30 per share reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, supported by a sustainable payout ratio. Future growth may hinge on innovation in smart water technologies and geographic diversification, alongside disciplined capital deployment.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Current valuation metrics suggest the market prices A. O. Smith as a stable, cash-generative business with moderate growth prospects. Investor expectations likely center on sustained margin performance and incremental growth from water treatment and international segments. The company’s premium positioning in water technology may justify its valuation multiples relative to peers.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

A. O. Smith’s strategic advantages include its strong brand, technological leadership, and global distribution network. The outlook remains positive, supported by tailwinds in water conservation and urbanization. Risks include raw material cost volatility and competitive pressures, but the company’s innovation pipeline and financial resilience position it well for long-term value creation.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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