Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of AOS

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of AOS stock

Previous Close$70.87
Intrinsic Value$27.14
Upside potential  -62%
Previous Close
$70.87
Intrinsic Value
$27.14
Potential        
-62%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-3.3NaN
Revenue, $2895NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2455NaN
Operating income, $m440NaN
EBITDA, $m520NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m444NaN
Tax expense, $m99NaN
Net income, $m345NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m690NaN
Total assets, $m3161NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2471NaN
Average production assets, $m1421NaN
Working capital, $m732NaN
Total debt, $m113NaN
Total liabilities, $m1312NaN
Total equity, $m1848NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.061NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.472NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m345NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m80NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m562NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-57NaN
Free cash flow, $m619NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m732
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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