Intrinsic value of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of AP

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of AP stock

Previous Close$6.48
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.48

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-17.4NaN
Revenue, $329NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m322NaN
Operating income, $m6NaN
EBITDA, $m25NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m8NaN
Tax expense, $m-0NaN
Net income, $m8NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m17NaN
Total assets, $m463NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m446NaN
Average production assets, $m172NaN
Working capital, $m67NaN
Total debt, $m37NaN
Total liabilities, $m378NaN
Total equity, $m85NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.438NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.181NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m8NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m19NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m34NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-8NaN
Free cash flow, $m42NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m67
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN