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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of Apache Corporation (APA)

Previous Close$41.66
Intrinsic Value$49.24
Upside potential  +18%
Previous Close
$41.66
Intrinsic Value
$49.24
Potential        
+18%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Cash & ST Investments
Total debt
Market cap, m$
14,452

Based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %80.1NaN
Revenue, $7985NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m6094NaN
Operating income, $m1891NaN
EBITDA, $m3461NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1551NaN
Tax expense, $m578NaN
Net income, $m973NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m402NaN
Total assets, $m13303NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m12901NaN
Average production assets, $m8577NaN
Working capital, $m263NaN
Total debt, $m7761NaN
Total liabilities, $m14898NaN
Total equity, $m-1595NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio-4.866NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.130NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m973NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1570NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3496NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-857NaN
Free cash flow, $m4353NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m263
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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