Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ARCO

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ARCO stock

Previous Close$5.86
Intrinsic Value$0.00
Upside potential  -100%
Previous Close
$5.86
Intrinsic Value
$0.00
Potential        
-100%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-32.9NaN
Revenue, $1984NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2051NaN
Operating income, $m-67NaN
EBITDA, $m60NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-132NaN
Tax expense, $m18NaN
Net income, $m-149NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m167NaN
Total assets, $m2294NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2127NaN
Average production assets, $m919NaN
Working capital, $m-88NaN
Total debt, $m777NaN
Total liabilities, $m2096NaN
Total equity, $m198NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio3.922NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.016NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-149NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m127NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m16NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-86NaN
Free cash flow, $m101NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m-88
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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