Intrinsic value of Alcobra Ltd. (ARCT)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ARCT

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ARCT stock

Previous Close$28.86
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$28.86

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2019-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-09-30.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2019(a)2020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %32.0NaN
Revenue, $21NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m46NaN
Operating income, $m-26NaN
EBITDA, $m-25NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-26NaN
Tax expense, $m0NaN
Net income, $m-26NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m71NaN
Total assets, $m82NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m11NaN
Average production assets, $m24NaN
Working capital, $m53NaN
Total debt, $m15NaN
Total liabilities, $m56NaN
Total equity, $m26NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.581NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-4.223NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-26NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-6NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-1NaN
Free cash flow, $m-6NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m53
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN