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Intrinsic value of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI)

Previous Close$12.49
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.49
* Our model cannot be used “out of the box” for the valuation of this stock. You can still do your own valuation by changing the valuation input parameters.

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh13.55 

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2022-03-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States. It is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021(a)2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %22.9NaN
Revenue, $421NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m226NaN
Operating income, $m195NaN
EBITDA, $m142NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m201NaN
Tax expense, $m-5NaN
Net income, $m207NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m343NaN
Total assets, $m8417NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m8074NaN
Average production assets, $m160NaN
Working capital, $m7253NaN
Total debt, $m6010NaN
Total liabilities, $m6122NaN
Total equity, $m2295NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio2.619NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.395NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m207NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m-53NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m199NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m42NaN
Free cash flow, $m157NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m7253
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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