Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ARW

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ARW stock

Previous Close$119.02
Intrinsic Value$185.18
Upside potential  +56%
Previous Close
$119.02
Intrinsic Value
$185.18
Potential        
+56%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-0.8NaN
Revenue, $28673NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m27779NaN
Operating income, $m895NaN
EBITDA, $m1119NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m757NaN
Tax expense, $m173NaN
Net income, $m584NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m374NaN
Total assets, $m17054NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m16680NaN
Average production assets, $m3143NaN
Working capital, $m4022NaN
Total debt, $m2257NaN
Total liabilities, $m11905NaN
Total equity, $m5149NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.438NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.296NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m584NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m224NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1360NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-124NaN
Free cash flow, $m1483NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m4022
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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