Intrinsic value of AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

other valuations of ASIX

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  See other valuations of ASIX stock

Previous Close$30.70
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$30.70

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-10.8NaN
Revenue, $1158NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m1095NaN
Operating income, $m63NaN
EBITDA, $m124NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m55NaN
Tax expense, $m9NaN
Net income, $m46NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m11NaN
Total assets, $m1263NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1253NaN
Average production assets, $m776NaN
Working capital, $m46NaN
Total debt, $m275NaN
Total liabilities, $m819NaN
Total equity, $m444NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.619NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.346NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m46NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m61NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m112NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-83NaN
Free cash flow, $m195NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m46
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN