Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ASND

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ASND stock

Previous Close$132.18
Intrinsic Value$13.44
Upside potential  -90%
Previous Close
$132.18
Intrinsic Value
$13.44
Potential        
-90%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-12-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-47.0NaN
Revenue, $8NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m386NaN
Operating income, $m-378NaN
EBITDA, $m-367NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-479NaN
Tax expense, $m-0NaN
Net income, $m-479NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m821NaN
Total assets, $m1119NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m298NaN
Average production assets, $m92NaN
Working capital, $m785NaN
Total debt, $m0NaN
Total liabilities, $m161NaN
Total equity, $m958NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.000NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.459NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-479NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m11NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-310NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-19NaN
Free cash flow, $m-291NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m785
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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