Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Alphatec Holdings, Inc. (ATEC)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of ATEC

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of ATEC stock

Previous Close$14.88
Intrinsic Value$0.86
Upside potential  -94%
Previous Close
$14.88
Intrinsic Value
$0.86
Potential        
-94%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2021-03-31.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %27.7NaN
Revenue, $145NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m204NaN
Operating income, $m-59NaN
EBITDA, $m-47NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-79NaN
Tax expense, $m0NaN
Net income, $m-79NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m108NaN
Total assets, $m265NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m157NaN
Average production assets, $m69NaN
Working capital, $m126NaN
Total debt, $m43NaN
Total liabilities, $m108NaN
Total equity, $m157NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.274NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.348NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-79NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m12NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-45NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-23NaN
Free cash flow, $m-22NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m126
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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