Investor’s Craft

Intrinsic value of Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (AVAL)

[per Chepakovich valuation model]

➔ other valuations of AVAL

[per Chepakovich valuation model]  ➔ See other valuations of AVAL stock

Previous Close$5.87
Intrinsic Value$17.77
Upside potential  +203%
Previous Close
$5.87
Intrinsic Value
$17.77
Potential        
+203%

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $
Initial revenue growth rate (norm.), %
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, mln $
Production assets / Revenue, %
Working capital / Revenue, %
Interest rate on debt, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Initial discount rate, %
Shares outstanding, mln
Adjusted equity ratio
Adjusted assets / Revenue
Based on fiscal year data as of 2020-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2020-09-30.
NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.
  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2020(a)2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %27.0NaN
Revenue, $10803NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m8860NaN
Operating income, $m1943NaN
EBITDA, $m2363NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m1258NaN
Tax expense, $m553NaN
Net income, $m705NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m13519NaN
Total assets, $m96869NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m83349NaN
Average production assets, $m6960NaN
Working capital, $m3869NaN
Total debt, $m8328NaN
Total liabilities, $m86237NaN
Total equity, $m10632NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.783NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.035NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m705NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m420NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3006NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-171NaN
Free cash flow, $m3177NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m3869
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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