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IntroductionThe concept of valuationRevenue and revenue growthVariable costsFixed costsProduction assets

Intrinsic value of AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV)

Previous Close$88.60
Intrinsic Value$10.90
Upside potential  -88%
Previous Close
$88.60
Intrinsic Value
$10.90
Potential        
-88%

VALUATION INPUT DATA (original, your and others' valuations)

ParameterOrig.Your
Date of valuation (DoV)  
Intrinsic value (IV) at DoV, $/sh  
IV at current val. algorithm, $/sh10.9 10.9

The original valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-04-30 and quarterly data as of 2022-07-31.

Registered users can save their valuation input data

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

NOTE: The bar chart shows historic and forecasted yearly revenue growth rates. Its purpose is to help you in determining what initial revenue rate you want to base your stock valuation on. Please make sure that you are confident in the value you select - for most stocks it is by far the most important parameter in valuation.

Company description

AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). The company supplies UAS, TMS, unmanned ground vehicle, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense and to international allied governments. It also designs, engineers, tools, and manufactures unmanned aerial and aircraft systems, including airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment and other items and services related to unmanned aircraft systems. In addition, the company offers small UAS products, including spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support, as well as multiple aircraft, hand-held ground control system, and spare parts and accessories. Further, it develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %12.9NaN
Revenue, $446NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m456NaN
Operating income, $m-10NaN
EBITDA, $m51NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-15NaN
Tax expense, $m-10NaN
Net income, $m-4NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m102NaN
Total assets, $m914NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m812NaN
Average production assets, $m487NaN
Working capital, $m268NaN
Total debt, $m188NaN
Total liabilities, $m306NaN
Total equity, $m608NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.309NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.636NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-4NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m61NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m-10NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-22NaN
Free cash flow, $m12NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m268
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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